Bill Hader

Confidence Level: 95%

Should Win: Bill Hader (Barry) - for an incredible 2nd season of Barry

Actually Won: Bill Hader

Julia Louis-Dreyfus

Confidence Level: 60%

Should Win: Phoebe Waller-Bridge (Fleabag) - although she wouldn't look as good accepting the Emmy as she did at her mother's funeral

Actually Won: Phoebe Waller-Bridge

Olivia Colman

Confidence Level: 45%

Should Win: Sarah Goldberg (Barry) - deserved the Emmy for this monologue alone

Actually Won: Alex Borstein (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)

Tony Shalhoub

Confidence Level: 35%

Should Win: Anthony Carrigan (Barry) - but he should split the Emmy 50/50 with Cristobal

Actually Won: Tony Shalhoub

Fleabag

Confidence Level: 85%

Should Win: Fleabag "Episode 1" - some of the best writing in the history of awkward family dinners

Actually Won: Fleabag "Episode 1"

Barry

Confidence Level: 80%

Should Win: Barry "ronny/lily"

Actually Won: Fleabag "Episode 1"

Bob Odenkirk

Confidence Level: 35%

Should Win: No one - 2019's bland batch of nominees in this category proves that TV is all about strong female leads these days.

Actually Won: Billy Porter (Pose)

Sandra Oh

Confidence Level: 80%

Should Win: Jodie Comer (Killing Eve) - although the hype train is full steam ahead for Oh to become the first Asian American to win this award, her co-star's performances are much more interesting

Actually Won: Jodie Comer

Julia Garner

Confidence Level: 40%

Should Win: Rhea Seehorn (Better Call Saul) - who wasn't even nominated in a category where literally 4 out of 6 nominees are from GoT.

Actually Won: Julia Garner

Peter Dinklage

Confidence Level: 90%

Should Win: Nikolaj Coster-Waldau (Game of Thrones) - Benioff and Weiss did everything they could to ruin the character arc for Jamie Lannister but Dinklage has enough Emmys already so give one to Nikolaj finally, please.

Actually Won: Peter Dinklage

Nice and Neat

Confidence Level: 70%

Should Win: Succession "Nobody is Ever Missing" - The finale of Succession's first season was incredible and deserves this award. But whoever votes in this category nominated the GoT finale as well so I have no faith in them.

Actually Won: Succession "Nobody is Ever Missing"

Game of Thrones

Confidence Level: 85%

Should Win: Game of Thrones "The Long Night" - no matter your opinion on the writing of the last season, this episode was an incredible achievement in Directing and should be honoured as such.

Actually Won: Ozark "Reparations"

Jharrel Jerome

Confidence Level: 65%

Should Win: Sam Rockwell (Fosse/Verdon) - I really want to say Jared Harris for Chernobyl but Rockwell's performance as Bob Fosse was nothing short of transformative.

Actually Won: Jharrel Jerome

Michelle Williams

Confidence Level: 50%

Should Win: Michelle Williams (Fosse/Verdon) - This award is a coin-flip between Williams and Patricia Arquette (Escape at Dannemora). Both are amazing performances but Williams as Gwen Verdon wins in my book.

Actually Won: Michelle Williams

Patricia Clarkson

Confidence Level: 98%

Should Win: Patricia Clarkson (Sharp Objects) - Sharp Objects has lost most of its awards hype in the face of newer challengers... with one exception. Everyone decided they were voting Patricia Clarkson and haven't waivered since Sharp Objects aired over a year ago.

Actually Won: Patricia Arquette (The Act)

Ben Whishaw

Confidence Level: 80%

Should Win: Ben Whishaw (A Very English Scandal) - Whishaw's performance as Norman Scott has already earned him several awards, and I expect the Emmy will be his next.

Actually Won: Ben Whishaw

Chernobyl

Confidence Level: 85%

Should Win: Chernobyl - HBO's amazing miniseries asks 2 important questions: First, what is the cost of lies? And secondly, how does an RBMK reactor explode? The way it answers these questions makes it deserving of this award.

Actually Won: Chernobyl

When They See Us

Confidence Level: 70%

Should Win: Chernobyl - The entire miniseries was incredibly well directed throughout every shot of every episode, but if I had to choose just one scene to prove it should win Best Directing, it would be this one.

Actually Won: Chernobyl